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When Will The Fed Cut Interest Rates? A Forecasting Exercise

When Will The Fed Cut Interest Rates? A Forecasting Exercise

Investors and particularly homebuyers are wondering when will the Fed finally start cutting rates? After 11 rate hikes so far since 2022, investors and homebuyers are starting to feel the strain of higher borrowing costs. The longer the Fed Funds rate stays high, the more negative impact it will have on the economy. Ideally, the […]

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Selling Municipal Bonds Is Incredibly Expensive And Cumbersome

Selling Municipal Bonds Is Incredibly Expensive And Cumbersome

If you’re thinking about holding individual municipal bonds as a safe and liquid source of funds, think twice. Owning highly-rated municipal bonds is low risk. However, selling individual municipal bonds can be incredibly expensive and cumbersome. Unlike stocks, which now have $0 trading fees and ample liquidity, municipal bonds have a much less liquid market.

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Suggested Stock Allocation By Bond Yield For Logical Investors

Suggested Stock Allocation By Bond Yield For Logical Investors

With interest rates rising across Treasury bonds, municipal bonds, and corporate bonds, there comes a point where owning bonds becomes more attractive than owning stocks. The objective of this article is to figure out an appropriate stock allocation by bond yield for a better risk-appropriate return. With the 10-year Treasury bond yield rising to as

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Investor Virtue Signaling In A Capitalist Country Is Fascinating

Investor Virtue Signaling In A Capitalist Country Is Fascinating

Virtue signaling is the public expression of opinions or sentiments intended to demonstrate one’s good character, social conscience, or the moral correctness of one’s position on a particular issue. I don’t mind virtue signaling if the person also lives by their beliefs. It is natural to want to demonstrate to the world one’s beliefs, especially about a cause one truly believes

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Why High Interest Rates Are Great For Most, Even If We Crash

Why High Interest Rates Are Great For Most, Even If We Crash

High interest rates could be the best thing for investors, personal finance enthusiasts, retirees, savers, and those seeking financial independence. You know, most of us. Even though it was uncomfortable to lose money when the Fed first started hiking rates in 2022, the Fed may have ultimately did us a favor by hiking 11 times

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It’s OK To Sell Stocks Once You’ve Made Enough To Buy What You Want

It’s OK To Sell Stocks Once You’ve Made Enough To Buy What You Want

Everybody should have some investments in stocks. Although stocks provide zero utility, some stocks provide dividend income and all stocks have the potential for capital appreciation. Since 1926 the S&P 500 has returned about 10% on average a year. Further, at some point in your life you should sell some stocks to buy what you

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Active Funds: Why Wealthy People Continue To Invest In Them

Active Funds: Why Wealthy People Continue To Invest In Them

Have you ever wondered why wealthy people are more willing to invest in hedge funds, venture capital, venture debt, private equity, and specialty funds? These are all actively-run funds that mostly have a history of underperforming the S&P 500. Yet, billions of dollars still pour in each year. Some of these active funds are also

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How I’d Invest One Million Dollars Today For A Better Tomorrow

How I’d Invest One Million Dollars Today For A Better Tomorrow

We’ve gone through exercises on how I’d invest $100,000 and $250,000. Now let’s go through an exercise on how I’d invest a million dollars today. Investing a million dollars is slightly different from investing $100,000 and $250,000. You can more easily afford to lose $100,000 – $250,000. But if you lose $1,000,000, you might enter

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Artificial Intelligence: How To Protect Yourself And Benefit Financially

Artificial Intelligence: How To Protect Yourself And Benefit Financially

I’m a late adopter, which is why I haven’t thought too much about artificial intelligence (AI). I’d rather have early adopters figure out all the kinks first so I can better spend my time using the technology. However, at a kid’s birthday party one Saturday, a dad, who works in finance, came up to me

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Regularly Selling Your Company Stock Is Probably A Good Idea

Regularly Selling Your Company Stock Is Probably A Good Idea

Some employers pay their employees with company stock as part of their total compensation package. This way, employees become owners and potentially feel a greater sense of duty towards the firm. If you don’t own any of your company’s stock, you might be less inclined to come in early or leave late. Without company stock,

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The Need For Liquidity Is Overrated (If You Are Financially Competent)

The Need For Liquidity Is Overrated (If You Are Financially Competent)

During the bull market, I shared my belief the need for liquidity is overrated. Now that we’re in a bear market, I thought I’d revisit my thesis to see if it still stands. So far, I think it does. You’ve heard the recommendations of always having an emergency fund equal to 6-12 months of living

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How To Better Manage Your Private Investment Capital Calls

How To Better Manage Your Private Investment Capital Calls

Recently, I temporarily went broke because I improperly managed my private investment capital calls. Because this happened, I thought I’d discuss some straightforward solutions to ensure you always have liquidity. If you are a new private fund investor or plan to invest in more private funds to diversify your investments, please learn from my errors.

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How To Prepare For Another Bank Run As The Contagion Spreads

Sadly, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB, $SIVB), the 16th largest bank in America at the end of 2022, experienced a bank run. Now the contagion has spread to other regional banks such as First Republic Bank, Signature Bank, Zions Bancorp, and Charles Schwab. Even the largest banks were getting hit as well. Ultimately, The Federal Deposit

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Shifting Retirement Assets From Tax-Deferred To Tax-Now By 2026

The tax-now Roth IRA will increase in popularity over the coming years. Let me explain why. When Congress passed the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TJCA) of 2017, it inaugurated an eight-year period of the lowest tax rates in American history, which started on January 1, 2018. However, due to the sunset clause that was

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Combatting Inflation Is Straightforward But Not Easy

Much has been said about inflation hurting society. As people’s buying power decreases, life gets more costly. Heck, the Fed seems hell-bent on causing another recession to contain inflation. However, as I look at the historical price changes of some of our most important consumer goods and services, I can’t help but think combatting inflation

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Why You Won’t Regret Buying Treasury Bonds Yielding 5%+

Recently, I can’t help but shovel more money into Treasury bonds. With 3-month-to-1-year Treasury bonds yielding 5%+, I feel like the guaranteed return is too high to pass up. But the more Treasury bonds I buy, the more I wonder whether I will regret the decision a year from now. Perhaps you are starting to

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Short-Term And Long-Term Capital Gains Tax Rates By Income

Do you need more incentive to generate passive income in order to give yourself more freedom? Then look no further than the below two charts. They show the 2023 capital gains tax rates by income for both short-term and long-term. The short-term capital gains tax rate is equivalent to your federal marginal income tax rate.

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The Difference Between Active Income And Passive Income

After writing about building passive income since 2009, people still seem to be confused about the difference between active income and passive income! Let me finally put this confusion to rest because I don’t want people to get tricked into thinking earning passive income is easy. It is not! It took me from 1999 –

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Losing All Your Money Investing On Margin Is Not The Worst Thing

“What happened to your friend who bought Tesla stock on margin,” a reader asked. He likely lost a lot of money, but I haven’t asked for details. That would be rude. On March 31, 2021, I published a post entitled, Buying Stocks On Margin Is A Bad Idea: You Could Lose Big. I wrote the

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Post-Mortem Analysis Of A Bullish Investment Thesis

In order to become a good-enough investor, it’s worth doing a post-mortem analysis of your investment calls. Constantly reviewing what we got wrong and what we got right is important for improvement. We must not confuse any investment outcome with improper reasoning. If we do, we will suffer from Dunning-Kruger, which could lead to deleterious

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